Indian Market Outlook – 31 October 2025

nifty sensex going down

Market snapshot (close)

Index / MetricLevelDay-on-day change
Sensex83,938.71-0.55%
Nifty 5025,722.10-0.60%
USD/INR88.77Rupee weaker

Market breadth: advances ~1,731; declines ~2,240; unchanged ~138.

Top gainers & losers

Gainers

StockComment
Bharat ElectronicsLarge-cap defence name up strong
Eicher MotorsVehicle/auto strength showing
Shriram FinanceFinancials out-performed
L & T (Larsen & Toubro)Infra/engineering support
TCSIT name bucked the weak trend

Losers

StockComment
CiplaPost-earnings/management change
NTPCPower sector under pressure
Kotak Mahindra BankPrivate bank weakness
ICICI BankFinancials broadly weak
InfosysIT names lagging broader market

What moved the market

  • Profit-booking after a multi-week rally.
  • Global cues remained mixed: some easing bias but risk-aversion creeping in.
  • Weaker rupee weighed on sentiment.
  • Regulatory / structural overhang (index weight caps / bank/financial reshuffle) added caution.

Stocks to watch / Corporate updates

  • Bandhan Bank: sharp profit drop and shift in business mix drew attention.
  • Cipla: leadership transition announced; earnings mixed.
  • Lenskart IPO opened, tracking investor interest.
  • L&T and select large-cap IT names showing relative strength.
  • Private banks: under the lens given regulatory/structural change.

Global cues & policy backdrop

  • RBI kept policy steady; growth focus intact though inflation remains key.
  • US dollar strength and emerging-market FX pressure staying in focus.
  • Domestic regulatory bodies signaling reshuffle in indices (bank/financial sector) by Mar 2026.

Outlook for Monday (Nov 3, 2025)

  • Key levels: Nifty support near ~25,600; resistance around ~25,850.
  • Bias: Likely range-bound or slightly cautious unless global risk improves sharply.
  • Sectors to watch:
    • Private banks (on regulatory narrative)
    • PSU banks (relative strength)
    • Result-season plays (upcoming earnings will steer short-term moves)
  • Strategy: With indices cooling off, look for selective opportunities rather than broad momentum chase.