Indian Market Outlook – 31 October 2025

nifty sensex going down

Market snapshot (close)

Index / MetricLevelDay-on-day change
Sensex83,938.71-0.55%
Nifty 5025,722.10-0.60%
USD/INR88.77Rupee weaker

Market breadth: advances ~1,731; declines ~2,240; unchanged ~138.

Top gainers & losers

Gainers

StockComment
Bharat ElectronicsLarge-cap defence name up strong
Eicher MotorsVehicle/auto strength showing
Shriram FinanceFinancials out-performed
L & T (Larsen & Toubro)Infra/engineering support
TCSIT name bucked the weak trend

Losers

StockComment
CiplaPost-earnings/management change
NTPCPower sector under pressure
Kotak Mahindra BankPrivate bank weakness
ICICI BankFinancials broadly weak
InfosysIT names lagging broader market

What moved the market

  • Profit-booking after a multi-week rally.
  • Global cues remained mixed: some easing bias but risk-aversion creeping in.
  • Weaker rupee weighed on sentiment.
  • Regulatory / structural overhang (index weight caps / bank/financial reshuffle) added caution.

Stocks to watch / Corporate updates

  • Bandhan Bank: sharp profit drop and shift in business mix drew attention.
  • Cipla: leadership transition announced; earnings mixed.
  • Lenskart IPO opened, tracking investor interest.
  • L&T and select large-cap IT names showing relative strength.
  • Private banks: under the lens given regulatory/structural change.

Global cues & policy backdrop

  • RBI kept policy steady; growth focus intact though inflation remains key.
  • US dollar strength and emerging-market FX pressure staying in focus.
  • Domestic regulatory bodies signaling reshuffle in indices (bank/financial sector) by Mar 2026.

Outlook for Monday (Nov 3, 2025)

  • Key levels: Nifty support near ~25,600; resistance around ~25,850.
  • Bias: Likely range-bound or slightly cautious unless global risk improves sharply.
  • Sectors to watch:
    • Private banks (on regulatory narrative)
    • PSU banks (relative strength)
    • Result-season plays (upcoming earnings will steer short-term moves)
  • Strategy: With indices cooling off, look for selective opportunities rather than broad momentum chase.

Disclaimer

The stocks mentioned in this article are not recommendations. Please conduct your own research and due diligence before investing. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Please read the Risk Disclosure documents carefully before investing in Equity Shares, Derivatives, Mutual fund, and/or other instruments traded on the Stock Exchanges. As investments are subject to market risks and price fluctuation risk, there is no assurance or guarantee that the investment objectives shall be achieved. Lemonn (Formerly known as NU Investors Technologies Pvt. Ltd) do not guarantee any assured returns on any investments. Past performance of securities/instruments is not indicative of their future performance.