India Market Wrap – Thursday, September 25, 2025

nifty sensex going down

Dalal Street extended its losing streak to a fifth straight session as risk appetite stayed muted amid FII outflows and jitters around the proposed US H-1B fee hike. Benchmarks slipped, while breadth in the broader market stayed negative.

Closing Snapshot

IndexCloseΔ (pts)Δ (%)
Sensex81,159.68-555.95-0.68%
Nifty 5024,890.85-166.05-0.66%
Bank Niftytested key support near 55,000—weak tone
Nifty Midcap / Smallcap——~ -0.6% each (broader indices slipped in tandem).

Note: Official EOD prints for select non-benchmark indices were still being finalized at source; percentage direction is confirmed.

Sector Check (NSE)

LeadersWhy it moved
Metals (↑)Copper-linked names outperformed; Hindustan Copper strength tracked firmer global copper after supply disruption reports.
FMCG (mixed-to-↑)Upgrades on select staples (Britannia, Nestlé) cushioned declines.
LaggardsWhat weighed
IT (↓↓)Sentiment hit by proposed US $100k H-1B fee; front-line IT names under pressure.
Autos, Financials (↓)Profit-taking and weak risk tone; auto names extended losses.

Market Breadth

  • Broader market: Mid & Smallcap indices fell ~0.6% each; advances trailed declines.

Nifty 50 — Notable Moves (Top Gainers/Losers)

Exact percentage tables from the exchange were not yet published at the time of writing; below are notable movers and the reasons driving them today.

StockDirectionWhy it moved
Trent↓Among top drags on Sensex/Nifty basket amid broad-based profit-taking.
Tata Motors↓Pressure after JLR cyberattack reports weighed on sentiment.
TCS, Wipro↓IT pack sold off on H-1B fee overhang and weak global tech tone.
Asian Paints↓Part of large-cap decliners as defensives couldn’t offset selling pressure.
Axis Bank, BEL, Bharti Airtel↑Select buying in banks/defence/telecom provided partial cushion.

What Drove Today’s Tape

  • Policy overhang on IT: U.S. move to impose a steep H-1B application fee kept the entire IT complex subdued.
  • FII outflows persist: Continuous foreign selling kept rallies in check.
  • Crude cooled but remained elevated vs recent lows: Brent eased after a seven-week peak; energy remained volatile.
  • Rupee stable near record-weak zone: Managed close as RBI’s presence likely capped volatility.

Global Cues Dashboard

AssetLatest cue
Dow / S&P 500 / Nasdaq (prev session)U.S. indices slipped modestly after a strong month; sentiment cautious into data & Fed speakers.
Brent Crude~$69/bbl, slight pullback after seven-week high.
USD/INRRupee hovering in the 88.6–88.8 zone; pressure from outflows.

Stocks to Watch (and Triggers)

  • Tata Motors: Any updates around JLR cyber incident and plant restart cadence.
  • Large-cap IT (TCS, Infosys, Wipro): Follow-through on H-1B fee headlines; management commentaries.
  • Hindustan Copper & metal pack: Track copper prices and supply headlines.
  • Britannia, Nestlé: After brokerage upgrades, watch for volume/price follow-through.
  • Newgen Software / Fineotex Chemicals: Order wins & board actions (split/bonus) sentiment tailwinds.

Key Technical Levels (Spot)

IndexSupport(s)Resistance(s)
Nifty 5024,800 (immediate); deeper risk below25,000–25,050 (near-term supply)
Bank Nifty≈55,000 (critical support zone)55,800–56,200 (overhead hurdles)

Tactical take: Momentum has shifted to sellers with Nifty below the 21-DMA and sub-25k on intraday probes; expect sell-on-rise near resistance bands until 25,150–25,250 is reclaimed convincingly.

Tomorrow’s Playbook (Fri, Sep 26)

  • Tone: Cautious-to-negative unless global risk stabilizes; dips to 24,800–24,830 on Nifty may invite short covering, but supply expected near 25,000–25,150.
  • Buy/Sell Zones:
    • Nifty 50: Buy-on-dips only if 24,800–24,830 holds with tight stops; Sell-on-rise toward 25,050–25,150.
    • Bank Nifty: Watch 55,000; sustained breach risks extension to 54,400–54,600. Rejection near 55,800–56,200 is a fade set-up.
  • Sectors to track:
    • FMCG / Select Consumption: Relative strength visible; buy on dips.
    • IT: Trade light—headline-sensitive.
    • Metals: Momentum trade if copper stays firm.

Quick Takeaway

The market is in control of sellers near term, with 24,800 on Nifty a line in the sand and 55k critical for Bank Nifty. Respect resistance, be selective on longs (FMCG/metals strength), and keep risk tight in IT/auto where news-flow risk is high.

Disclaimer

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