India Market Outlook – September 23, 2025

nifty sensex going down

Dalal Street ended Tuesday’s session on a mixed note. IT weakness weighed on benchmarks, while banks and autos provided the much-needed support. The undertone stayed cautious, with traders eyeing global cues, crude, and the currency market for direction.

Indices Recap

IndexCloseChange% Change
Sensex82,102-56-0.07%
Nifty 5025,170-32-0.13%
Nifty Bank55,509+225+0.41%
Nifty Midcap 100-0.29%
Nifty Smallcap 100+0.35%

Sectoral Performance

SectorTrendKey Drivers
Auto▲ StrongFestive demand optimism, GST tweaks
Banks (Private & PSU)▲ PositiveLoan growth outlook, investor flows
IT▼ WeakUS H-1B visa fee shock
FMCG▼ SoftProfit-taking, input cost concerns
Metals▲ Mild gainsCommodity strength

Market Breadth & Statistics

MetricValue
Advances1,329
Declines1,714
Unchanged93
52-Week Highs107
52-Week Lows44

Key Drivers of the Session

  • IT Drag: US policy shock on H-1B visa fees pressured IT heavyweights.
  • Auto Rally: Early Navratri demand expectations boosted auto majors.
  • Banking Strength: Private banks extended gains, cushioning benchmarks.
  • Currency Pressure: Rupee hit fresh lows near 88.8/USD, weighing on sentiment.
  • Oil Relief: Brent crude softened towards $66/bbl, easing inflationary worries.

Global Cues

Asset / IndexTrendImplication for India
US equitiesNear record highsSupportive global mood
Brent crude~$66/bbl, fallingPositive for input costs
USD/INR88.8 (record low)Import cost worries, FII risk

Stocks to Watch

StockTrigger
Maruti, M&M, Tata Motors, Hero MotoCorpFestive demand tailwinds
Axis Bank, SBIStrong financial momentum
TCS, Infosys, TechM, LTIM, CoforgeVisa fee overhang
KEC InternationalOrder inflows worth ₹3,243 cr
Adani PowerPost 1:5 stock split action

Technical Picture – Nifty 50

LevelZoneComment
Support 125,050Short-term floor
Support 225,000Psychological mark
Support 324,950Breakdown trigger
Resistance 125,300–25,350Supply zone
Resistance 225,500Upside target

Outlook for Tomorrow (Sep 24, 2025)

The market is poised for a neutral to cautious open. Autos and banks are expected to remain in favor, while IT may continue to face selling pressure. Crude softness provides a cushion, but the weak rupee is a key risk factor.

Expected Market Tone: Rangebound with a cautious bias.

  • Buy dips near 25,050–25,000.
  • Fade rallies near 25,300–25,350.
  • Watch for currency volatility and global tech sentiment overnight.

Bottom Line: Traders should stay stock-specific, favor banks and autos on strength, and remain cautious in IT. Tomorrow’s session will likely be one of consolidation with rotational sectoral action.