India Market Outlook – September 23, 2025

nifty sensex going down

Dalal Street ended Tuesday’s session on a mixed note. IT weakness weighed on benchmarks, while banks and autos provided the much-needed support. The undertone stayed cautious, with traders eyeing global cues, crude, and the currency market for direction.

Indices Recap

IndexCloseChange% Change
Sensex82,102-56-0.07%
Nifty 5025,170-32-0.13%
Nifty Bank55,509+225+0.41%
Nifty Midcap 100-0.29%
Nifty Smallcap 100+0.35%

Sectoral Performance

SectorTrendKey Drivers
Auto▲ StrongFestive demand optimism, GST tweaks
Banks (Private & PSU)▲ PositiveLoan growth outlook, investor flows
IT▼ WeakUS H-1B visa fee shock
FMCG▼ SoftProfit-taking, input cost concerns
Metals▲ Mild gainsCommodity strength

Market Breadth & Statistics

MetricValue
Advances1,329
Declines1,714
Unchanged93
52-Week Highs107
52-Week Lows44

Key Drivers of the Session

  • IT Drag: US policy shock on H-1B visa fees pressured IT heavyweights.
  • Auto Rally: Early Navratri demand expectations boosted auto majors.
  • Banking Strength: Private banks extended gains, cushioning benchmarks.
  • Currency Pressure: Rupee hit fresh lows near 88.8/USD, weighing on sentiment.
  • Oil Relief: Brent crude softened towards $66/bbl, easing inflationary worries.

Global Cues

Asset / IndexTrendImplication for India
US equitiesNear record highsSupportive global mood
Brent crude~$66/bbl, fallingPositive for input costs
USD/INR88.8 (record low)Import cost worries, FII risk

Stocks to Watch

StockTrigger
Maruti, M&M, Tata Motors, Hero MotoCorpFestive demand tailwinds
Axis Bank, SBIStrong financial momentum
TCS, Infosys, TechM, LTIM, CoforgeVisa fee overhang
KEC InternationalOrder inflows worth ₹3,243 cr
Adani PowerPost 1:5 stock split action

Technical Picture – Nifty 50

LevelZoneComment
Support 125,050Short-term floor
Support 225,000Psychological mark
Support 324,950Breakdown trigger
Resistance 125,300–25,350Supply zone
Resistance 225,500Upside target

Outlook for Tomorrow (Sep 24, 2025)

The market is poised for a neutral to cautious open. Autos and banks are expected to remain in favor, while IT may continue to face selling pressure. Crude softness provides a cushion, but the weak rupee is a key risk factor.

Expected Market Tone: Rangebound with a cautious bias.

  • Buy dips near 25,050–25,000.
  • Fade rallies near 25,300–25,350.
  • Watch for currency volatility and global tech sentiment overnight.

Bottom Line: Traders should stay stock-specific, favor banks and autos on strength, and remain cautious in IT. Tomorrow’s session will likely be one of consolidation with rotational sectoral action.

Disclaimer

The stocks mentioned in this article are not recommendations. Please conduct your own research and due diligence before investing. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Please read the Risk Disclosure documents carefully before investing in Equity Shares, Derivatives, Mutual fund, and/or other instruments traded on the Stock Exchanges. As investments are subject to market risks and price fluctuation risk, there is no assurance or guarantee that the investment objectives shall be achieved. Lemonn (Formerly known as NU Investors Technologies Pvt. Ltd) do not guarantee any assured returns on any investments. Past performance of securities/instruments is not indicative of their future performance.