India Market Outlook – 17 November 2025

nifty sensex up
IndexCloseChange (pts)% ChgComment
Nifty 5026,013.45+103.40+0.40%Back above 26k; 6th straight up day
Sensex84,950.95+388.0+0.46%Near record zone, financials led
Nifty Bank58,942.60~+0.7%+0.70%Hit a fresh record high
Nifty Financial Svcs27,491.85+0.35%+0.35%14/20 constituents in green

(Charts: Sensex & Nifty intraday / recent trend)

Sectoral performance (NSE / BSE broad view)

Broadly:

  • Financials / Banks
    • Financials index +0.4–0.6%; Nifty Bank +0.7% to record high.
    • PSU banks (Canara Bank, PNB, SBI, etc.) outperformed private banks.
  • Autos
    • Mixed:
      • Tata Motors PV down ~4.7% after JLR margin guidance cut.
      • Hero MotoCorp, Maruti, M&M gained ~1–3% on positive earnings and upgrades.
  • IT & Tech
    • Largely flat to mildly negative, tracking global tech volatility and recent profit-taking.
  • Metals / Commodities
    • Range-bound; sentiment cautious given China data and global growth worries.
  • Defensives (FMCG, Pharma)
    • Mostly sideways to mildly positive, some stock-specific buying.

Key statistics & internals

  • Market breadth: Positive – more advancers than decliners, especially in midcaps and PSU banks.
  • Rupee:
    • ₹88.63 / USD, marginally stronger, despite a wider trade deficit in October.
  • Valuation context:
    • Recent NSE data places Nifty 50 trailing P/E ~22x, P/B ~3.5, indicating markets are not cheap but supported by earnings upgrades.

Major movers – large & liquid names

Notable gainers

StockApprox Move TodayComment / Driver
Maruti Suzuki+1–2%Auto demand optimism; part of Sensex leaders.
Kotak Mahindra Bank+1–2%Financials up on RBI relief & earnings optimism.
Mahindra & Mahindra~+1.1%Autos positive; outperforming market.
Tech Mahindra+1–2%IT stock among Sensex gainers despite global tech volatility.
SBI~+0.6–1.3%Hit new 52-week high; benefits from financials rally.

Notable losers

StockApprox Move TodayComment / Driver
Tata Motors PV-4.7%Cut FY26 JLR margin guidance after cyberattack & weaker China demand.
Infosys~-2–2.5%IT under pressure amid global tech volatility and profit-taking.
Tata Steel~-1.5%Metals sensitive to concerns on China’s growth.
ICICI Bank~-0.9–1%Mild profit-booking despite sector-positive backdrop.
Select mid-caps (IT/metal)-0.5–1%Rotation into financials & PSU names.

Note: This table highlights representative large / liquid movers, not the official NSE “top 10” list.

What moved the market today?

  1. RBI exporter relief:
    • RBI announced support / moratorium measures for exporters facing tariff-related stress.
    • This eased NPL fears and triggered a strong rally in financials, especially PSU banks and trade-linked lenders, lifting the benchmarks.
  2. Earnings optimism, especially in midcaps:
    • Q2 results have been better than expected, with midcaps seeing strong earnings upgrades, supporting record highs in midcap indices.
  3. Political tailwind (Bihar election):
    • NDA’s win in Bihar is seen as policy-continuity positive, adding to the risk-on mood for domestic cyclicals (financials, infra, autos).
  4. Stock-specific hits & boosts:
    • Tata Motors PV: Margin guidance cut for JLR due to cyberattack hit sentiment; stock was a major drag on auto indices.
    • Hero MotoCorp / Maruti / M&M: Up on strong 2W/4W demand visibility and positive brokerage commentary.
  5. Supportive global backdrop but still choppy:
    • Despite last week’s global tech sell-off, European markets were slightly green and US futures higher by the time India closed, helping sustain risk appetite.

Global cues

  • US (Friday, 14 Nov):
    • Dow -0.7% (~-300 pts), S&P 500 -0.1%, Nasdaq +0.1% – choppy, tech-driven session; AI/semis rebounded after a sharp sell-off. New York Post+1
  • Europe:
    • Stoxx 600 was weak late last week but marginally higher (~+0.1%) today, as markets pause after the tech-led wobble. markets.businessinsider.com+1
  • Asia:
    • Japan’s Nikkei under pressure as China warned citizens against travel to Japan, hurting tourism stocks.
    • Chinese and Hong Kong indices remain soft on growth worries. Reuters+1

Overall, global cues are cautious but not outright risk-off; India is outperforming peers on domestic flows and earnings.


7. Stocks to watch (near term)

1. Financials / Banks (esp. PSU)

  • Canara Bank, SBI, PNB, IDFC First Bank, AU Small Finance Bank, Kotak Bank
  • Theme: RBI relief + earnings upgrades + improving asset quality.
  • Nifty Bank at record high keeps this space in focus.

2. Tata Motors (PV & JLR story)

  • Overhang from JLR margin guidance cut, cyberattack-related production hit and weaker China demand.
  • Key watch: further downgrades vs any clarity on recovery & EV plans.

3. Autos (Hero MotoCorp, Maruti, M&M)

  • Benefiting from volume strength, festive demand and positive brokerage notes.
  • Sensitive to rural recovery, rates, and fuel price trajectory.

4. Midcap financials & exchanges (Muthoot, BSE, NBFCs)

  • Strong moves on earnings beats & guidance upgrades; leadership within Nifty Financial Services.

5. IT large caps (Infosys, TCS, Tech Mahindra, Wipro)

  • Under pressure short term, but global tech remains a swing factor; any stabilization in US tech could trigger a bounce.

Corporate & macro highlights

  • RBI exporter support package:
    • Moratorium / relief for export-oriented sectors facing US tariff disruptions.
    • Eases NPA fears for banks with high exporter exposure, hence the financials outperformance.
  • Tata Motors / JLR:
    • Cyberattack-led production halt, one-time charge, and JLR margin guidance cut to 0–2% for FY26 (vs 5–7% earlier) is a key concern for auto & EV investors.
  • Gold & crude:
    • Gold remains elevated (safe-haven demand), while oil slipped ~0.7–0.8% as Russia restarted exports from Novorossiysk – modestly positive for India’s macros.

Technical view for next session – Tue, 18 Nov 2025

Using current close levels plus recent technical commentary:

Nifty 50

  • Close: 26,013
  • Immediate support:
    • S1: ~25,740–25,750
    • S2: ~25,620–25,630
  • Immediate resistance:
    • R1: ~26,100–26,120
    • R2: ~26,220–26,250

View:

  • Trend remains up, with RSI in a moderately bullish zone (~60) and price holding above key moving averages.
  • Base case for tomorrow:
    • Tone: “Cautiously positive, buy-on-dips”
    • Likely range: roughly 25,750–26,200, with stock-specific action in:
      • Financials / PSU banks on follow-through buying
      • Autos (Tata Motors for reaction, Hero/Maruti/M&M for continuation)
      • Select midcap financials & exchanges

Bank Nifty

  • Close: ~58,518 (record territory)
  • Supports: ~58,170 & 57,960
  • Resistances: ~58,860 & 59,070

View:

  • Strongest index; RSI near overbought (~70) suggests uptrend intact but prone to intraday profit booking.
  • Dips towards 58,200–58,300 likely to find buyers; sustained move above 58,900 can extend the rally.

Sensex

  • Close: 84,951
  • Supports: ~83,900 & 83,550
  • Resistances: ~85,050 & 85,400

View:

  • Index is grinding higher near resistance; fresh break above 85,000–85,400 can open room for another leg up, else consolidation possible.

Expected market tone for the next trading day

Bias:

  • Mildly bullish / buy-on-dips, with:
    • Domestic triggers (RBI actions, earnings, political clarity) supportive, and
    • Global backdrop still choppy but not outright negative.

Key watchpoints for tomorrow:

  1. Follow-through in financials/PSU banks – if flows continue here, indices can grind higher even if autos/IT stay mixed.
  2. Tata Motors reaction – whether selling exhausts or deepens.
  3. Global tech & Nvidia earnings expectations – any renewed US tech sell-off can spill into Indian IT and cap Nifty upside.

If you tell me your timeframe (intraday vs swing multi-day) and preferred segments (index futures, options, cash, sectors) I can turn this into concrete trade setups with entry/SL/targets aligned to these levels.

Disclaimer

The stocks mentioned in this article are not recommendations. Please conduct your own research and due diligence before investing. Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. Please read the Risk Disclosure documents carefully before investing in Equity Shares, Derivatives, Mutual fund, and/or other instruments traded on the Stock Exchanges. As investments are subject to market risks and price fluctuation risk, there is no assurance or guarantee that the investment objectives shall be achieved. Lemonn (Formerly known as NU Investors Technologies Pvt. Ltd) do not guarantee any assured returns on any investments. Past performance of securities/instruments is not indicative of their future performance.