Indian Market Outlook – 17 September 2025

nifty sensex up

Indian equities started September 17 on a firm note. Both the Nifty 50 and Sensex opened higher, with early gains supported by sustained domestic buying and softer volatility. Positive flows from domestic institutional investors (DIIs) outweighed continued selling by foreign institutional investors (FIIs). Asian markets were mostly higher – particularly Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, while U.S. stocks closed slightly lower overnight as investors awaited the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy decision. India VIX, a gauge of market volatility, eased further below 11, reflecting stable sentiment.

Major indices

IndexCurrent value (approx.)% change today*Previous session close**
Sensex82,709.64+0.40%82,380.69
Nifty 5025,335.00+0.38%25,239.10
Nifty Bank55,410.30+0.48%
Gift Nifty (SGX)25,433.50+0.38%
India VIX10.1575-1.10%

**Closing values on 16 Sept 2025.

Top gainers

StockPrice (₹)Change (%)
Tata Consumer Products1,136.30+4.05
State Bank of India857.15+3.08
Bharat Electronics412.20+2.31
Maruti Suzuki India15,801.00+1.46
Kotak Mahindra Bank2,050.30+1.41
UltraTech Cement12,721.00+1.14
Tech Mahindra1,547.20+1.03

Top losers

StockPrice (₹)Change (%)
Bajaj Finserv2,057.00-1.12
Titan Company3,523.00-0.95
ITC409.30-0.92
SBI Life Insurance1,804.00-0.81
HDFC Life Insurance768.05-0.81
Hindalco Industries750.10-0.77
Eicher Motors6,890.50-0.53

Other key statistics

MetricLatest value
Foreign investor flows (16 Sept)FIIs net ₹308 cr buying; DIIs net ₹1,519 cr buying
U.S. 10‑yr Treasury yield4.02% (down 0.002 percentage points)
WTI crude oilUS$64.41/bbl, down 0.17%
Dow Jones / NASDAQ / S&P 500 (last close)45,774.33 / 22,364.25 / 6,627.28, all slightly lower
Asian benchmarks (approx.)Nikkei 225: 44,943 (+0.09%), Hang Seng: 26,812 (+1.41%), Shanghai Composite: 4,418 (+0.47%)

Key stocks & corporate updates

  • RailTel – awarded a ₹105.7 cr contract by Bihar’s education project to install smart classrooms, boosting its order book.
  • Blue Dart – received a GST demand notice exceeding ₹420 cr, leading to uncertainty around potential liabilities.
  • Akzo Nobel India – India’s competition regulator approved JSW Paints’ proposal to acquire up to a 75% stake via share purchase and open offer.
  • Tech Mahindra – LIC increased its shareholding by about two percentage points to 10.84%, signalling institutional confidence.
  • Bharat Electronics (BEL) – secured new orders worth about ₹712 cr for IT infrastructure, cybersecurity and defence systems since 1 September, underscoring its strong execution pipeline.

Market movements & global cues

  • Domestic factors: Indian equities opened higher as traders took cues from a strong close in the prior session and continued support from DIIs. Lower volatility (India VIX below 11) and expectations of further policy support kept sentiment firm.
  • Global influences: U.S. markets edged lower overnight ahead of a key Federal Reserve interest‑rate decision, while Asian peers, notably the Hang Seng index, rallied on optimism over Chinese economic support measures. Crude oil prices slipped marginally, and U.S. bond yields were steady, suggesting no major flight to safety.
  • Sectoral highlights: Banks and consumer stocks led gains; heavyweights such as SBI and BEL buoyed indices. Auto and insurance names were the main laggards.

Outlook for tomorrow (18 September 2025)

  • Support/resistance: Technical levels suggest near‑term support for Nifty 50 at around 25,037 and 24,912, with resistance at 25,441 and 25,566. Sensex support is around 81,743/81,349, with resistance near 83,018/83,412. Bank Nifty support lies near 54,764/54,527 and resistance at 55,531/55,768.
  • Expectations: The underlying trend remains cautiously bullish as long as DIIs continue to absorb FII selling. However, investors may stay guarded ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting results and key economic data from Europe and the U.K. A decisive move above Nifty 25,441 could pave the way for a test of 25,600, while failure to hold 25,037 may trigger profit‑taking.
  • Key watch points: Global central‑bank commentary, U.S.–India trade‑talk developments, and commodity price movements (oil and metals). Domestic macro releases, such as inflation and industrial‑production numbers, will also influence sentiment.

Disclaimer

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