Indian Stock Market Outlook – 5 February 2026

nifty sensex going down

Major indices

IndexCloseChangeNotes
Nifty 5025,640.70−135.30 (−0.52 %)Index snapped a three‑day rally amid broad‑based selling.
BSE Sensex83,311.38−506.31 (−0.60 %)Large‑cap benchmark fell as metals and IT stocks dragged; banking stocks also cooled ahead of the RBI policy decision.
Nifty Bank59,957.95−282.05 (−0.47 %)Banking index retreated after recent gains, reflecting caution before the monetary‑policy meeting.
Nifty Midcap 100~40,540 (approx)−0.30 %Broader markets underperformed; small‑cap index fell over 1 %.

Sectoral performance

SectorAvg. % changeCommentary
Energy−14.75 %Sharpest fall, reflecting weak crude‑oil prices and profit‑booking in oil & gas names.
Commercial services−12.65 %Demand‑sensitive businesses sold off.
Textiles−9.29 %Sector weakened as export outlook remained uncertain.
Realty−8.95 %Profit taking in property developers.
Leisure services−7.98 %Consumer‑discretionary names corrected after recent gains.
Printing & stationery+4.79 %Best‑performing sector; small‑cap names saw buying interest.
Trading+0.65 %Mixed performance with select gainers.
Castings, forgings & fasteners+0.34 %Slightly positive, indicating selective buying in industrial stocks.

Key statistics

  • Market breadth: out of ~4,546 traded stocks, 1,878 advanced while 2,668 declined, indicating bearish breadth.
  • Volatility: India VIX hovered around 12.3, up only modestly, signalling contained volatility even as indices slid.
  • FII/DII flows (4 Feb): foreign institutional investors bought ₹29.8 cr while domestic institutions bought ₹249.5 cr. In the previous session, FIIs purchased over ₹5,236 cr, highlighting reduced foreign activity ahead of the RBI policy.
  • Crude oil: WTI crude slipped ~2.2 % to US$63.72 per barrel, weighing on energy stocks.
  • Bond yields: the U.S. 10‑year Treasury yield eased to 4.26 %, offering some respite for global risk sentiment.
  • Market capitalisation: around ₹464 trillion (US$5.14 trn) for NSE equities.

Top gainers and losers

Top gainers (large‑caps)

StockClosing price (₹)Day’s change
Trent4,131.30+2.96 %
Max Healthcare Institute1,040.80+1.50 %
JSW Steel1,239.80+0.94 %
Grasim Industries2,863.90+0.67 %
Adani Enterprises2,236.60+0.38 %

Top losers (large‑caps)

StockClosing price (₹)Day’s change
Hindalco Industries935.45−3.06 %
Bharti Airtel1,992.40−1.65 %
Titan4,097.60−1.12 %
Eicher Motors7,209.50−0.93 %
UltraTech Cement12,773.00−0.26 %

Broader‑market movers

A handful of mid‑cap names were volatile: Tube Investments of India and Redington slumped around 5–10 %, while Westlife Foodworld, Sapphire Foods and Jubilant FoodWorks rallied after posting strong results. Metals stocks such as Hindustan Copper, Vedanta and National Aluminium witnessed heavy selling amid falling global metal prices.

What moved the market

  • Profit‑booking after a rally: Both the Nifty 50 and Sensex had risen for three consecutive sessions. Traders locked in profits as valuations approached resistance levels.
  • Weak global cues: Asian markets, including Japan’s Nikkei (−0.9 %), Korea’s Kospi (−3.9 %), China’s Shanghai Composite (−0.6 %) and Taiwan’s Taiex (−1.2 %), were mostly lower after a sell‑off in U.S. technology stocks. European indices opened weak as investors awaited key central‑bank meetings.
  • Sector rotation: Metals and IT stocks dragged the indices. Falling commodity prices led to heavy selling in metal names, while IT stocks extended declines amid concerns of softer global tech spending. PSU banks were resilient, gaining slightly after outperforming over the past week.
  • Macro‑policy overhang: The Reserve Bank of India’s Monetary Policy Committee meeting (decision due 6 Feb) kept traders cautious. Expectations of a status‑quo policy but hawkish commentary influenced positions in financials.
  • US–India trade deal optimism waning: Earlier enthusiasm following progress on the US–India trade deal faded as investors reassessed near‑term benefits, contributing to the pullback.

Global cues

  • U.S. markets: The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose ~0.5 %, while the S&P 500 slipped ~0.5 % and Nasdaq Composite dropped ~1.5 % the previous night, reflecting mixed earnings and weakness in major technology stocks.
  • European/Asian markets: FTSE 100 (−0.33 %), DAX (−0.32 %), CAC 40 (+0.21 %), Hang Seng (+0.14 %), Nikkei 225 (−0.88 %), Kospi (−3.86 %) showed a cautious tone.
  • Commodities: Declines in crude oil and industrial metals signalled expectations of softer global growth, pressuring cyclical sectors.

Stocks to watch

StockWhy it’s on watch
MaricoSigned a deal to acquire a 60 % stake in Cosmix Wellness for ₹225.67 cr, expanding its presence in functional wellness.
Power Grid Corporation of IndiaReceives regulatory approval to amalgamate 17 subsidiaries into two existing subsidiaries, streamlining operations.
TrentReported strong Q3 results with revenue up 14.8 % and EBITDA up 27.6 %; the stock was among the day’s top gainers.
Tata PowerPosted a marginal 0.6 % rise in Q3 profit to ₹1,194.3 cr even as revenue slipped 9.4 %; investors will gauge the impact of falling power demand.
NHPCCancelled its JV with Green Energy Development Corporation of Odisha for solar projects, signalling a shift in its renewable strategy.
Ambuja CementsAnnounced a UAE roadshow (12–13 Feb) to engage investors following the Adani group’s corporate restructuring.
Adani EnterprisesConverted ~137.8 million partly paid‑up shares to 75 % paid‑up status, boosting liquidity ahead of its rights issue.
Indian Oil Corporation (IOC)Reported Q3 profit of ₹12,126 cr, up over 4× YoY, aided by strong refining margins; shares touched a 52‑week high.
Hindustan CopperPosted Q3 profit of ₹156 cr (versus ₹63 cr YoY) but the stock slipped due to the broader sell‑off in metal stocks.
Dredging CorpShares fell ~10 % after reporting a second consecutive quarterly loss, highlighting weakness in port‑services demand.

Technical view and levels for 6 February 2026

  • Nifty 50: The index is consolidating between 25,700 (immediate support) and 25,818 (primary resistance). A break above 25,852 could extend the rally towards 25,936–26,000. On the downside, supports lie at 25,641 (day’s close), 25,581 and 25,500.
  • Bank Nifty: Immediate resistance is at 60,400; further hurdles are seen at 60,595 and 60,735. Supports lie at 59,893–59,793 (recent lows) and deeper near 59,612 and 59,500.
  • Sensex: The benchmark needs to reclaim 84,000 to signal fresh upside. Resistance levels are at 84,278 and 84,500. Support levels are near 83,000 and 82,800.
  • Tone for the next session: With the RBI policy decision imminent and global markets cautious, a range‑bound, volatile session is expected. Traders should watch the 25,600–25,850 range on the Nifty; a decisive move beyond this band could set the near‑term direction. Metals and IT may continue to underperform, while stock‑specific action could be seen in PSU banks and consumer staples.

Outlook for tomorrow (6 February 2026)

The market is likely to open on a cautious note ahead of the RBI Monetary Policy Committee outcome. Global markets remain mixed, and commodity prices show little support for cyclical sectors. Investors should brace for intraday volatility, with risk‑averse sentiment likely to persist. Any surprise in the policy stance or commentary could influence banking and rate‑sensitive sectors. Overall, the tone is expected to remain range‑bound with a negative bias, emphasising stock‑specific trades and strict risk management.

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